Proceedings of ICLT 2014

FOOD PRODUCTS TRADE TRENDS FOR AEA REGION

Babak Mirzazadeh; Manouchehr Vaziri

Department of Civil Engineering, Sharif University of Technology, Tehran, Iran; Department of Civil Engineering, Sharif University of Technology, Tehran, Iran

International Conference on Logistics & Transport 2014, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, pp. 29-35

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Abstract

This research aims to determine the trade trends of various food products in Asia, Europe and Africa, AEA, in which, the trade is examined in both the value of the trade in US dollar and the weight of the trade in kilogram. The trade data of the various food products for the value and the weight of the trade consisting export and import information, was acquired from UN Comtrade Database for 125 countries in Asia, Europe and Africa, for 9 years covering the period of 1965 to 2005. According to the Standard International Trade Classification, SITC, the various food products called Food and Live Animals, are divided into 10 subdivisions as the first level of subdividing this commodity. After the trade data was gathered, linear regressions were drawn for food products within the period cited whereby, the trade trends of the different food products in Asia, Europe and Africa were achieved. The linear regression models obtained for the value of the trade were ascending for whole 10 subdivisions from 1965 to 2005, whereas for the weight of the trade, only the trends of 7 subdivisions were ascending and the trends of 3 other subdivisions encompassing Live Animals, Fish and Feeding Stuff for Animals which are related to animals were descending. Furthermore, regarding the trends obtained for the weight of the trade, the most descending slope belongs to Feeding Stuff for Animals and the most ascending slope belongs to Cereals. By analyzing the gathered data and computing the regression models for the value and the weight of the trade, the impact of the value on the weight of the trade is determined, in a way that it is perceived whether for each food product, the trend of the value of the trade and the trend of the weight of the trade over the period mentioned, are ascending or descending or in opposite direction with respect to each other.

Keywords

Food products; Value of trade; Weight of trade; Regression; Trend

Citation

Babak Mirzazadeh; Manouchehr Vaziri (2014). FOOD PRODUCTS TRADE TRENDS FOR AEA REGION. Proceedings of the International Conference on Logistics & Transport (ICLT 2014), Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, pp. 29-35.